Racecards › Cork · Race 1 of 8

13:02 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Academy Hurdle

Distance: 2m1.5f
Going: Good
Type: Hurdle
Runners: 7
Places: 2 places 1/4
Confidence: Open race

STARTS IN

13:02

Race historyFavourites won 17 of 4747 similar races ›

Races: 47 hurdles over 2m½f to 2m2½f here since 2022
Ages: 4yo 36% · 5yo 28% · 6yo 15%
Fillies & mares: Won 17% of 35 races against colts and geldingsthey were 23% of the runners · today's field is all fillies and mares
Favourites: Won 17 of 47 (36%)typical winning price 5/2
Trainers: W P Mullins 6 · Gordon Elliott 6 · Henry De Bromhead 5

★ Our verdict

We side with Why Wait at 10/3. World Of The Way is the main danger, and Lighthouse Sarah our each-way bet at 16/1.

Every horse has a bar: our chance of winning, with the amber mark the market's. Bar past the mark means we make it a bigger chance than its price. OUR is where we rate the horse. Choose a horse for its full profile.

Click a runner for its profile · Our = where we rate it · bar = our win chance, | = the market's · sort from the underlined headings

No(draw)	Our ▾	Horse · jockey · trainer	OR	Wt	Score	Win %ours · market	Key for · against	Fair	Price
6	1	Why WaitTop pick3yo filly · no formJ M P Walsh T Ciaran Murphy	–	10-9	29	24%19%		3/1	10/3
7	2	World Of The WayDanger3yo filly · no formJ Darragh OKeeffe T Henry De Bromhead	–	10-9	30	23%46%		10/3	Evs
4	3	Lighthouse SarahEach-way3yo filly · no formJ P T Enright T Mark Michael McNiff	–	10-9	27	14%4%	Against: Jockey below par at this trip (-16%)	6/1	16/1
5	4	Plumton Queen3yo filly · no formJ K C Sexton T Gavin Patrick Cromwell	–	10-9	27	12%15%		7/1	9/2
3	5	Free To SpeakOutsider3yo filly · no formJ Ms A Power T Patrick Kiely	–	10-9	26	12%3%		7/1	22/1
2	6	Destinedforhistory3yo filly · no formJ Cian Quirke T A D Leahy	–	10-9	27	8%9%	For: Jockey in form (25%)	11/1	15/2
1	7	Baby Og3yo filly · no formJ Conor Clarke T E Seymour	–	10-9	25	7%4%	Against: Jockey below par at this trip (-18%)	14/1	16/1

← Back

OUR RANK

3 / 7

3yo filly
No stall
Trends 1.1×
Each-way

Lighthouse Sarah

P T Enright · Mark Michael McNiff

FAIR PRICE

6/1

market 16/1

★ Our view

Our each-way bet at 16/1. It faces a jockey with a lower strike rate at this trip, having secured 58 wins from 1047 rides since 2021 over 2m to 2m2f, which is 16% fewer than the prices suggested. We make it 6/1, a bigger chance than its 16/1 suggests, by some way.

For and against

Against

Jockey below par at this trip (-16%)Since 2021 at 2m-2m2: 58 wins from 1047 rides, 16% fewer than the prices said.

Race trends

Average fit1.1×1.0× is an average runner

Age: 3yo5 winners from 68 runners · 1.06× their share

From 47 races like this here: each group's share of the winners against its share of the runners. Past races only; it is a guide to the race, not part of our ratings.

Trainer & jockey

	14 days	30 days	Year	Course
TrainerMark Michael McNiff	11%1/9	8%1/12	5%5/110	14%1/7
JockeyP T Enright	10%3/29	6%3/49	7%34/520	13%11/84

Together: 3 from 66 (5%) · at this course 0 from 2 (0%)

Trainer's last 7 days: 1 from 4 · last winner 7 days ago · 14-day profit to £1 level stakes: +£2.00

Jockey by trip	Rides	Won	vs prices
2m-2m2today	1047	6% 58/1047	−16%
2m3-2m6	928	8% 75/928	−2%
2m7+	298	13% 39/298	+26%

Last two years over jumps. 'vs prices': how many more (or fewer) winners than the starting prices said.

Multicuts (3)

Choose one to see every horse in it today.

Chances

Our win

Our place

Market win

Runs

Wins

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Days off

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Time fig

Price check

Market: 16/1
Our fair price: 6/1

Recent form · latest first

No previous runs

Profile

Sire: Diamond Boy (FR)
Dam: Sister Saragh (IRE)
Damsire: Astarabad (USA)
Trainer: Mark Michael McNiff
Jockey: P T Enright
Run style: Mid-division

3yo filly
No stall
Trends 1.1×
Each-way