Race historyFavourites won 17 of 4747 similar races ›
Races
47 hurdles over 2m½f to 2m2½f here since 2022
Ages
4yo 36% · 5yo 28% · 6yo 15%
Fillies & mares
Won 17% of 35 races against colts and geldingsthey were 23% of the runners · today's field is all fillies and mares
Favourites
Won 17 of 47 (36%)typical winning price 5/2
Trainers
W P Mullins 6 · Gordon Elliott 6 · Henry De Bromhead 5

★ Our verdict

We side with Why Wait at 10/3. World Of The Way is the main danger, and Lighthouse Sarah our each-way bet at 16/1.

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OUR RANK
3 / 7
  • 3yo filly
  • No stall
  • Trends 1.1×
  • Each-way

Lighthouse Sarah

P T Enright · Mark Michael McNiff

FAIR PRICE
6/1
market 16/1

★ Our view

Our each-way bet at 16/1. It faces a jockey with a lower strike rate at this trip, having secured 58 wins from 1047 rides since 2021 over 2m to 2m2f, which is 16% fewer than the prices suggested. We make it 6/1, a bigger chance than its 16/1 suggests, by some way.

For and against

Against

  • Jockey below par at this trip (-16%)Since 2021 at 2m-2m2: 58 wins from 1047 rides, 16% fewer than the prices said.

Race trends

Average fit1.1×1.0× is an average runner
Age: 3yo5 winners from 68 runners · 1.06× their share

From 47 races like this here: each group's share of the winners against its share of the runners. Past races only; it is a guide to the race, not part of our ratings.

Trainer & jockey

14 days30 daysYearCourse
TrainerMark Michael McNiff11%1/98%1/125%5/11014%1/7
JockeyP T Enright10%3/296%3/497%34/52013%11/84

Together: 3 from 66 (5%) · at this course 0 from 2 (0%)

Trainer's last 7 days: 1 from 4 · last winner 7 days ago · 14-day profit to £1 level stakes: +£2.00

Jockey by tripRidesWonvs prices
2m-2m2today10476% 58/1047−16%
2m3-2m69288% 75/928−2%
2m7+29813% 39/298+26%

Last two years over jumps. 'vs prices': how many more (or fewer) winners than the starting prices said.

Multicuts (3)

Choose one to see every horse in it today.

Chances

14%Our win
29%Our place
4%Market win
0
Runs
0
Wins
—
Days off
—
Time fig

Price check

Market
16/1
Our fair price
6/1

Recent form · latest first

No previous runs

Profile

Sire
Diamond Boy (FR)
Dam
Sister Saragh (IRE)
Damsire
Astarabad (USA)
Trainer
Mark Michael McNiff
Jockey
P T Enright
Run style
Mid-division