Racecards › Thurles · Race 1 of 8

11:43 Racing Again November 19th Beginners Chase

Distance: 2m2.5f
Going: Good
Type: Beginners Chase
Runners: 12
Places: 3 places 1/5
Confidence: Solid

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11:43

Race historyFavourites won 7 of 1818 similar races ›

Races: 18 chases over 2m1½f to 2m3½f here since 2021
Ages: 6yo 39% · 8yo 22% · 5yo 22%
Fillies & mares: Won 9% of 11 races against colts and geldingsthey were 28% of the runners · 5 of 12 in today's field
Favourites: Won 7 of 18 (39%)typical winning price 7/2
Trend qualifiers: Harrys Dream 2.2×best fit to the trends of past winners; 1.0× is average
Trainers: W P Mullins 8 · P J Rothwell 2

★ Our verdict

We side with Might Be The One at 10/3. Whispering Willow is the main danger, and Itsaworkinmaniam our each-way bet at 6/1. Trends favour Harrys Dream.

Top pickMight Be The One10/3For: Won over 2m2f, close to this tripFor: Won on the going (1/5), 8 weeks ago
DangerWhispering Willow3/1For: Ran well at the trip (2nd over 2m1½f)Against: Well beaten last time, 5 weeks ago
Each-wayItsaworkinmaniam6/1Against: Well beaten last time, 5 weeks ago
OutsiderHarrys Dream16/1For: Course winner, a year agoFor: Strong trends fit (2.2x)Against: Well beaten last time, 8 months ago

Our view on every runner, in betting order. Choose a horse for its full profile.

OUR6Kimy6yo mare · 5-2-15-6-9J D J GilliganT Thomas Mullins5/2fair 10/1Little in the figures either way. Nothing stands out for Kimy, though it has won on this ground previously, albeit 2 years ago. The market rates it higher than we do: 5/2 against our 10/1.
OUR2Whispering WillowDanger5yo mare · 8-2-2-10-6J K M DonoghueT Gavin Patrick Cromwell3/1fair 6/1The main danger to our top pick. It has run well at this trip, though it was well beaten last time 5 weeks ago and is 0 from 7 on this ground. It wears cheekpieces for the first time. The market rates it higher than we do: 3/1 against our 6/1.
OUR1Might Be The OneTop pick5yo mare · 4-1-2-2-3J Darragh OKeeffeT Andrew McNamara10/3fair 5/2Our top pick. It has performed well at this trip and is a winner on this ground, with its last victory coming 8 weeks ago. It tops our points score (58 of 100). We make it 5/2, a bigger chance than its 10/3 suggests.
OUR8ItsaworkinmaniamEach-way7yo gelding · 8-8-5-6-2J Mr E MahonT Brian M McMahon6/1fair 12/1Our each-way bet at 6/1. It was well beaten last time 5 weeks ago and has not run over this distance before. The market rates it higher than we do: 6/1 against our 12/1.
OUR4The Monkey Pole6yo gelding · 5-4-5-5-3J Miss E HerbisonT N Dooly12/1fair 9/1Little in its favour. It is 0 from 7 on this ground and has not run over this distance before. We make it 9/1, a bigger chance than its 12/1 suggests.
OUR3I C U In My Dreams6yo mare · 6-6-1-2-4J M P OConnor(Jockey below par at this trip (-21%))T Conor Houlihan14/1fair 14/1Little in its favour. It was well beaten last time 6 months ago and is paired with a jockey who does less well at this trip. We make it 14/1, the same as the market.
OUR5Harrys DreamOutsider6yo gelding · 8-2-4-4-1J Anna McGuinnessT P J Rothwell(Trainer 0 from 16)16/1fair 16/1Our outsider: a big price at 16/1 with a case. It has won here before a year ago and fits the trends of past winners at this course well. However, it was well beaten last time 8 months ago and comes from a yard out of form. We make it 16/1, the same as the market.
OUR10Angelsworknovrtime10yo mare · 5-12-11-5-4J C D SmithersT James Fahey16/1fair 33/1Little in its favour. It is 0 from 14 on this ground. The market rates it higher than we do: 16/1 against our 33/1.
OUR7Jonny Carrol5yo gelding · 10-4-8-7-xJ Jordan GainfordT Moses McCabe25/1fair 16/1Little in its favour. It was well beaten last time 6 weeks ago and remains 0 from 4 on this ground. We make it 16/1, a bigger chance than its 25/1 suggests, by some way.
OUR11Space Warrior5yo gelding · 7-6-6-9-9J Simon Torrens(Jockey below par at this trip (-17%))T Thomas Mullins25/1fair 28/1Has claims, with questions to answer. It is bred for this trip and has won on this ground, though that was 2 years ago. It has a jockey who does less well at this trip. We make it 28/1, a bigger chance than its 25/1 suggests.
OUR9Tea In The Park6yo gelding · 9-7-10-15J R A DoyleT Eamon Courtney50/1fair 25/1Little in its favour. It was well beaten last time 10 months ago and is running over this distance for the first time. We make it 25/1, a bigger chance than its 50/1 suggests, by some way.
OUR12Kingston Silver5yo gelding · 9-11-9-12J Philip Donovan(Jockey below par at this trip (-18%))T W J Lanigan50/1fair 25/1Hard to make a case for. It was well beaten last time 4 weeks ago, is 0 from 3 on this ground and has a jockey who does less well at this trip. We make it 25/1, a bigger chance than its 50/1 suggests, by some way.