Racecards › Thurles · Race 1 of 8

11:43 Racing Again November 19th Beginners Chase

Distance: 2m2.5f
Going: Good
Type: Beginners Chase
Runners: 12
Places: 3 places 1/5
Confidence: Solid

STARTS IN

11:43

Race historyFavourites won 7 of 1818 similar races ›

Races: 18 chases over 2m1½f to 2m3½f here since 2021
Ages: 6yo 39% · 8yo 22% · 5yo 22%
Fillies & mares: Won 9% of 11 races against colts and geldingsthey were 28% of the runners · 5 of 12 in today's field
Favourites: Won 7 of 18 (39%)typical winning price 7/2
Trend qualifiers: Harrys Dream 2.2×best fit to the trends of past winners; 1.0× is average
Trainers: W P Mullins 8 · P J Rothwell 2

★ Our verdict

We side with Might Be The One at 10/3. Whispering Willow is the main danger, and Itsaworkinmaniam our each-way bet at 6/1. Trends favour Harrys Dream.

Every horse has a bar: our chance of winning, with the amber mark the market's. Bar past the mark means we make it a bigger chance than its price. OUR is where we rate the horse. Choose a horse for its full profile.

Click a runner for its profile · Our = where we rate it · bar = our win chance, | = the market's · sort from the underlined headings

No(draw)	Our ▾	Horse · jockey · trainer	OR	Wt	Score	Win %ours · market	Key for · against	Fair	Price
11	1	Might Be The OneTop pick5yo mare · form 4-1-2-2-3 · 33 days offJ Darragh OKeeffe T Andrew McNamara	97	11-5	58	28%18%	For: Won over 2m2f, close to this trip	5/2	10/3
12	2	Whispering WillowDanger5yo mare · form 8-2-2-10-6 · 38 days offJ K M Donoghue T Gavin Patrick Cromwell	97	11-5	43	14%21%	For: Ran well at the trip (2nd over 2m1½f)Against: Well beaten last time, 5 weeks ago	6/1	3/1
9	3	I C U In My Dreams6yo mare · form 6-6-1-2-4 · 181 days offJ M P OConnor T Conor Houlihan	–	11-5	25	7%5%	Against: Well beaten last time, 6 months ago	14/1	14/1
7	4	The Monkey Pole6yo gelding · form 5-4-5-5-3 · 11 days offJ Miss E Herbison T N Dooly	–	11-12	20	9%6%	Against: 0 from 7 on the going	9/1	12/1
1	5	Harrys DreamOutsider6yo gelding · form 8-2-4-4-1 · 240 days offJ Anna McGuinness T P J Rothwell	–	11-12	32	6%4%	For: Course winner, a year agoAgainst: Well beaten last time, 8 months ago	16/1	16/1
10	6	Kimy6yo mare · form 5-2-15-6-9 · 24 days offJ D J Gilligan T Thomas Mullins	99	11-5	44	9%24%		10/1	5/2
3	7	Jonny Carrol5yo gelding · form 10-4-8-7-x · 41 days offJ Jordan Gainford T Moses McCabe	–	11-12	17	6%3%	Against: Well beaten last time, 6 weeks ago	16/1	25/1
2	8	ItsaworkinmaniamEach-way7yo gelding · form 8-8-5-6-2 · 38 days offJ Mr E Mahon T Brian M McMahon	98	11-12	30	7%11%	Against: Well beaten last time, 5 weeks ago	12/1	6/1
6	9	Tea In The Park6yo gelding · form 9-7-10-15 · 318 days offJ R A Doyle T Eamon Courtney	–	11-12	16	4%1%	Against: Well beaten last time, 10 months ago	25/1	50/1
8	10	Angelsworknovrtime10yo mare · form 5-12-11-5-4 · 9 days offJ C D Smithers T James Fahey	94	11-5	37	3%4%	Against: 0 from 14 on the going	33/1	16/1
5	11	Space Warrior5yo gelding · form 7-6-6-9-9 · 18 days offJ Simon Torrens T Thomas Mullins	–	11-12	20	4%3%	For: Bred for the tripAgainst: Jockey below par at this trip (-17%)	28/1	25/1
4	12	Kingston Silver5yo gelding · form 9-11-9-12 · 30 days offJ Philip Donovan T W J Lanigan	–	11-12	13	4%1%	Against: Well beaten last time, 4 weeks ago	25/1	50/1

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OUR RANK

11 / 12

5yo gelding
No stall
Trends 1.4×

Space Warrior

Simon Torrens · Thomas Mullins

FAIR PRICE

28/1

market 25/1

★ Our view

Has claims, with questions to answer. It is bred for this trip and has won on this ground, though that was 2 years ago. It has a jockey who does less well at this trip. We make it 28/1, a bigger chance than its 25/1 suggests.

For and against

For

Bred for the tripBy Belardo (winners average 2m2½f in races like this) out of an Empire Maker mare: bred for about 2m2½f; today 2m2½f.

Against

Jockey below par at this trip (-17%)Since 2021 at 2m-2m2: 49 wins from 824 rides, 17% fewer than the prices said.

Worth knowing

Won on the going, but 2 years agoHas won on today's kind of ground, the last time 2 years ago.

Race trends

Average fit1.4×1.0× is an average runner

Age: 5yo4 winners from 29 runners · 1.13× their share

Sex: colts and geldings10 winners from 81 runners · 1.21× their share

From 18 races like this here: each group's share of the winners against its share of the runners. Past races only; it is a guide to the race, not part of our ratings.

Trainer & jockey

	14 days	30 days	Year	Course
TrainerThomas Mullins	0%0/4	15%2/13	6%7/115	14%1/7
JockeySimon Torrens	0%0/13	0%0/21	5%15/274	12%3/26

Together: 0 from 4 (0%) · at this course 0 from 1 (0%)

Trainer's last 7 days: 0 from 2 · last winner 21 days ago · 14-day profit to £1 level stakes: £-4.00

Jockey by trip	Rides	Won	vs prices
2m-2m2today	824	6% 49/824	−17%
2m3-2m6	664	7% 44/664	−16%
2m7+	232	12% 28/232	+21%

Last two years over jumps. 'vs prices': how many more (or fewer) winners than the starting prices said.

Multicuts (10)

Choose one to see every horse in it today.

Chances

Our win

Our place

Market win

Runs

Wins

Days off

0.11

Time fig

Price check

Market: 25/1
Our fair price: 28/1

Recent form · latest first

7thGalwayLatest
6thPunchestownOct
6thGowran ParkOct
9thGalwayAug
9thBallinrobeJul
3rdClonmelApr

Profile

Sire: Belardo (IRE)
Dam: Surface Of Earth (USA)
Damsire: Empire Maker (USA)
Trainer: Thomas Mullins
Jockey: Simon Torrens
Run style: Run style due with the race-day pace file

5yo gelding
No stall
Trends 1.4×