Racecards › Thurles · Race 1 of 8

11:43 Racing Again November 19th Beginners Chase

Distance: 2m2.5f
Going: Good
Type: Beginners Chase
Runners: 12
Places: 3 places 1/5
Confidence: Solid

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11:43

Race historyFavourites won 7 of 1818 similar races ›

Races: 18 chases over 2m1½f to 2m3½f here since 2021
Ages: 6yo 39% · 8yo 22% · 5yo 22%
Fillies & mares: Won 9% of 11 races against colts and geldingsthey were 28% of the runners · 5 of 12 in today's field
Favourites: Won 7 of 18 (39%)typical winning price 7/2
Trend qualifiers: Harrys Dream 2.2×best fit to the trends of past winners; 1.0× is average
Trainers: W P Mullins 8 · P J Rothwell 2

★ Our verdict

We side with Might Be The One at 10/3. Whispering Willow is the main danger, and Itsaworkinmaniam our each-way bet at 6/1. Trends favour Harrys Dream.

Every horse has a bar: our chance of winning, with the amber mark the market's. Bar past the mark means we make it a bigger chance than its price. OUR is where we rate the horse, and the list runs in betting order. Choose a horse for its full profile.

Click a runner for its profile · Our = where we rate it · bar = our win chance, | = the market's · sort from the underlined headings

No(draw)	Our	Horse · jockey · trainer	OR	Wt	Score	Win %ours · market	Key for · against	Fair	Price ▾
10	6	Kimy6yo mare · form 5-2-15-6-9 · 24 days offJ D J Gilligan T Thomas Mullins	99	11-5	44	9%24%		10/1	5/2
12	2	Whispering WillowDanger5yo mare · form 8-2-2-10-6 · 38 days offJ K M Donoghue T Gavin Patrick Cromwell	97	11-5	43	14%21%	For: Ran well at the trip (2nd over 2m1½f)Against: Well beaten last time, 5 weeks ago	6/1	3/1
11	1	Might Be The OneTop pick5yo mare · form 4-1-2-2-3 · 33 days offJ Darragh OKeeffe T Andrew McNamara	97	11-5	58	28%18%	For: Won over 2m2f, close to this trip	5/2	10/3
2	8	ItsaworkinmaniamEach-way7yo gelding · form 8-8-5-6-2 · 38 days offJ Mr E Mahon T Brian M McMahon	98	11-12	30	7%11%	Against: Well beaten last time, 5 weeks ago	12/1	6/1
7	4	The Monkey Pole6yo gelding · form 5-4-5-5-3 · 11 days offJ Miss E Herbison T N Dooly	–	11-12	20	9%6%	Against: 0 from 7 on the going	9/1	12/1
9	3	I C U In My Dreams6yo mare · form 6-6-1-2-4 · 181 days offJ M P OConnor T Conor Houlihan	–	11-5	25	7%5%	Against: Well beaten last time, 6 months ago	14/1	14/1
1	5	Harrys DreamOutsider6yo gelding · form 8-2-4-4-1 · 240 days offJ Anna McGuinness T P J Rothwell	–	11-12	32	6%4%	For: Course winner, a year agoAgainst: Well beaten last time, 8 months ago	16/1	16/1
8	10	Angelsworknovrtime10yo mare · form 5-12-11-5-4 · 9 days offJ C D Smithers T James Fahey	94	11-5	37	3%4%	Against: 0 from 14 on the going	33/1	16/1
3	7	Jonny Carrol5yo gelding · form 10-4-8-7-x · 41 days offJ Jordan Gainford T Moses McCabe	–	11-12	17	6%3%	Against: Well beaten last time, 6 weeks ago	16/1	25/1
5	11	Space Warrior5yo gelding · form 7-6-6-9-9 · 18 days offJ Simon Torrens T Thomas Mullins	–	11-12	20	4%3%	For: Bred for the tripAgainst: Jockey below par at this trip (-17%)	28/1	25/1
6	9	Tea In The Park6yo gelding · form 9-7-10-15 · 318 days offJ R A Doyle T Eamon Courtney	–	11-12	16	4%1%	Against: Well beaten last time, 10 months ago	25/1	50/1
4	12	Kingston Silver5yo gelding · form 9-11-9-12 · 30 days offJ Philip Donovan T W J Lanigan	–	11-12	13	4%1%	Against: Well beaten last time, 4 weeks ago	25/1	50/1

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OUR RANK

1 / 12

5yo mare
No stall
Rating 97
Trends 0.7×
Top pick

Might Be The One

Darragh OKeeffe · Andrew McNamara

FAIR PRICE

5/2

market 10/3

Points score

58 / 100

Handicap mark12.9 / 16

Form7.7 / 13

Speed9 / 11

Distance8.5 / 10

Weight3.6 / 9

Going4.2 / 7

Trainer/Jockey0.9 / 7

Pace3.5 / 7

Course1.1 / 6

Class1.9 / 6

Pedigree0.9 / 4

Freshness1.7 / 2

Won last time1 / 2

Each factor scores up to its weight; the weights add up to 100.

Record by condition

Trip—

Course—

Today's ground1/7 · 2 top-3

Career1/13 (8%)

Rank against this field

Official rating50th pct

Time figure92nd pct

Recent form100th pct

Going record75th pct

Trainer form75th pct

Pedigree

Proven at the tripBred for about 2m4½ftoday 2m2.5f

1st over 2m2f at Downpatrick (2026-09-18): its own form says it stays, whatever the pedigree suggests.

SirePoets Wordwinners average 2m4f · 28 wins

DamsireZanzibariwinners average 2m5f · 21 wins

On good ground0.99×

Poets Word 0.99× (143 runs) · Zanzibari 0.99× (41 runs): how their runners do on this ground against their usual strike rate.

UK and Irish hurdle and chase winners since 2021, each set against the usual winning trip for its kind of race and shown for today's. Over jumps only a clear stayer or speed pedigree is called, in races well over or under the usual trip; the sire counts twice as much as the damsire.

From the daily pack

Sire at the trip0%

Dam's foals1/5 placed

A × figure compares runners on today's ground with their record elsewhere: right of the centre line is better than their average, left is worse.

Draw & pace

Stall — of 12 · Run style due with the race-day pace file

5yo mare
No stall
Rating 97
Trends 0.7×
Top pick