Racecards › Thurles · Race 1 of 8

11:43 Racing Again November 19th Beginners Chase

Distance: 2m2.5f
Going: Good
Type: Beginners Chase
Runners: 12
Places: 3 places 1/5
Confidence: Solid

STARTS IN

11:43

Race historyFavourites won 7 of 1818 similar races ›

Races: 18 chases over 2m1½f to 2m3½f here since 2021
Ages: 6yo 39% · 8yo 22% · 5yo 22%
Fillies & mares: Won 9% of 11 races against colts and geldingsthey were 28% of the runners · 5 of 12 in today's field
Favourites: Won 7 of 18 (39%)typical winning price 7/2
Trend qualifiers: Harrys Dream 2.2×best fit to the trends of past winners; 1.0× is average
Trainers: W P Mullins 8 · P J Rothwell 2

★ Our verdict

We side with Might Be The One at 10/3. Whispering Willow is the main danger, and Itsaworkinmaniam our each-way bet at 6/1. Trends favour Harrys Dream.

Every horse has a bar: our chance of winning, with the amber mark the market's. Bar past the mark means we make it a bigger chance than its price. OUR is where we rate the horse. Choose a horse for its full profile.

Click a runner for its profile · Our = where we rate it · bar = our win chance, | = the market's · sort from the underlined headings

No(draw)	Our ▾	Horse · jockey · trainer	OR	Wt	Score	Win %ours · market	Key for · against	Fair	Price
11	1	Might Be The OneTop pick5yo mare · form 4-1-2-2-3 · 33 days offJ Darragh OKeeffe T Andrew McNamara	97	11-5	58	28%18%	For: Won over 2m2f, close to this trip	5/2	10/3
12	2	Whispering WillowDanger5yo mare · form 8-2-2-10-6 · 38 days offJ K M Donoghue T Gavin Patrick Cromwell	97	11-5	43	14%21%	For: Ran well at the trip (2nd over 2m1½f)Against: Well beaten last time, 5 weeks ago	6/1	3/1
9	3	I C U In My Dreams6yo mare · form 6-6-1-2-4 · 181 days offJ M P OConnor T Conor Houlihan	–	11-5	25	7%5%	Against: Well beaten last time, 6 months ago	14/1	14/1
7	4	The Monkey Pole6yo gelding · form 5-4-5-5-3 · 11 days offJ Miss E Herbison T N Dooly	–	11-12	20	9%6%	Against: 0 from 7 on the going	9/1	12/1
1	5	Harrys DreamOutsider6yo gelding · form 8-2-4-4-1 · 240 days offJ Anna McGuinness T P J Rothwell	–	11-12	32	6%4%	For: Course winner, a year agoAgainst: Well beaten last time, 8 months ago	16/1	16/1
10	6	Kimy6yo mare · form 5-2-15-6-9 · 24 days offJ D J Gilligan T Thomas Mullins	99	11-5	44	9%24%		10/1	5/2
3	7	Jonny Carrol5yo gelding · form 10-4-8-7-x · 41 days offJ Jordan Gainford T Moses McCabe	–	11-12	17	6%3%	Against: Well beaten last time, 6 weeks ago	16/1	25/1
2	8	ItsaworkinmaniamEach-way7yo gelding · form 8-8-5-6-2 · 38 days offJ Mr E Mahon T Brian M McMahon	98	11-12	30	7%11%	Against: Well beaten last time, 5 weeks ago	12/1	6/1
6	9	Tea In The Park6yo gelding · form 9-7-10-15 · 318 days offJ R A Doyle T Eamon Courtney	–	11-12	16	4%1%	Against: Well beaten last time, 10 months ago	25/1	50/1
8	10	Angelsworknovrtime10yo mare · form 5-12-11-5-4 · 9 days offJ C D Smithers T James Fahey	94	11-5	37	3%4%	Against: 0 from 14 on the going	33/1	16/1
5	11	Space Warrior5yo gelding · form 7-6-6-9-9 · 18 days offJ Simon Torrens T Thomas Mullins	–	11-12	20	4%3%	For: Bred for the tripAgainst: Jockey below par at this trip (-17%)	28/1	25/1
4	12	Kingston Silver5yo gelding · form 9-11-9-12 · 30 days offJ Philip Donovan T W J Lanigan	–	11-12	13	4%1%	Against: Well beaten last time, 4 weeks ago	25/1	50/1

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OUR RANK

3 / 12

6yo mare
No stall
Trends 0.8×

I C U In My Dreams

M P OConnor · Conor Houlihan

FAIR PRICE

14/1

market 14/1

★ Our view

Little in its favour. It was well beaten last time 6 months ago and is paired with a jockey who does less well at this trip. We make it 14/1, the same as the market.

For and against

Against

Well beaten last time, 6 months agoLast time, 6 months ago: beaten 15.25L.
Jockey below par at this trip (-21%)Since 2021 at 2m-2m2: 32 wins from 472 rides, 21% fewer than the prices said.

Worth knowing

First time at the tripHas not run over this distance before.
Back from 181 daysFirst run for 181 days (absences are not marked down).

Race trends

Average fit0.8×1.0× is an average runner

Age: 6yo7 winners from 44 runners · 1.28× their share

Sex: fillies and mares1 winner from 31 runners · 0.59× their share

From 18 races like this here: each group's share of the winners against its share of the runners. Past races only; it is a guide to the race, not part of our ratings.

Trainer & jockey

	14 days	30 days	Year	Course
TrainerConor Houlihan	—	0%0/1	10%3/31	50%1/2
JockeyM P OConnor	0%0/8	8%1/13	5%10/188	0%0/10

Together: 0 from 8 (0%)

last winner 249 days ago · 14-day profit to £1 level stakes: £0.00

Jockey by trip	Rides	Won	vs prices
2m-2m2today	472	7% 32/472	−21%
2m3-2m6	420	8% 34/420	−12%
2m7+	150	9% 14/150	−14%

Last two years over jumps. 'vs prices': how many more (or fewer) winners than the starting prices said.

Multicuts (10)

Choose one to see every horse in it today.

Chances

Our win

Our place

Market win

Runs

Wins

181

Days off

0.21

Time fig

Price check

Market: 14/1
Our fair price: 14/1

Recent form · latest first

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4thNewcastleJan
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Profile

Sire: Jukebox Jury (IRE)
Dam: Chisholm Trail (IRE)
Damsire: Presenting
Trainer: Conor Houlihan
Jockey: M P OConnor
Run style: Run style due with the race-day pace file

6yo mare
No stall
Trends 0.8×