Racecards › Thurles · Race 1 of 8

11:43 Racing Again November 19th Beginners Chase

Distance: 2m2.5f
Going: Good
Type: Beginners Chase
Runners: 12
Places: 3 places 1/5
Confidence: Solid

STARTS IN

11:43

Race historyFavourites won 7 of 1818 similar races ›

Races: 18 chases over 2m1½f to 2m3½f here since 2021
Ages: 6yo 39% · 8yo 22% · 5yo 22%
Fillies & mares: Won 9% of 11 races against colts and geldingsthey were 28% of the runners · 5 of 12 in today's field
Favourites: Won 7 of 18 (39%)typical winning price 7/2
Trend qualifiers: Harrys Dream 2.2×best fit to the trends of past winners; 1.0× is average
Trainers: W P Mullins 8 · P J Rothwell 2

★ Our verdict

We side with Might Be The One at 10/3. Whispering Willow is the main danger, and Itsaworkinmaniam our each-way bet at 6/1. Trends favour Harrys Dream.

Every horse has a bar: our chance of winning, with the amber mark the market's. Bar past the mark means we make it a bigger chance than its price. OUR is where we rate the horse. Choose a horse for its full profile.

Click a runner for its profile · Our = where we rate it · bar = our win chance, | = the market's · sort from the underlined headings

No(draw)	Our ▾	Horse · jockey · trainer	OR	Wt	Score	Win %ours · market	Key for · against	Fair	Price
11	1	Might Be The OneTop pick5yo mare · form 4-1-2-2-3 · 33 days offJ Darragh OKeeffe T Andrew McNamara	97	11-5	58	28%18%	For: Won over 2m2f, close to this trip	5/2	10/3
12	2	Whispering WillowDanger5yo mare · form 8-2-2-10-6 · 38 days offJ K M Donoghue T Gavin Patrick Cromwell	97	11-5	43	14%21%	For: Ran well at the trip (2nd over 2m1½f)Against: Well beaten last time, 5 weeks ago	6/1	3/1
9	3	I C U In My Dreams6yo mare · form 6-6-1-2-4 · 181 days offJ M P OConnor T Conor Houlihan	–	11-5	25	7%5%	Against: Well beaten last time, 6 months ago	14/1	14/1
7	4	The Monkey Pole6yo gelding · form 5-4-5-5-3 · 11 days offJ Miss E Herbison T N Dooly	–	11-12	20	9%6%	Against: 0 from 7 on the going	9/1	12/1
1	5	Harrys DreamOutsider6yo gelding · form 8-2-4-4-1 · 240 days offJ Anna McGuinness T P J Rothwell	–	11-12	32	6%4%	For: Course winner, a year agoAgainst: Well beaten last time, 8 months ago	16/1	16/1
10	6	Kimy6yo mare · form 5-2-15-6-9 · 24 days offJ D J Gilligan T Thomas Mullins	99	11-5	44	9%24%		10/1	5/2
3	7	Jonny Carrol5yo gelding · form 10-4-8-7-x · 41 days offJ Jordan Gainford T Moses McCabe	–	11-12	17	6%3%	Against: Well beaten last time, 6 weeks ago	16/1	25/1
2	8	ItsaworkinmaniamEach-way7yo gelding · form 8-8-5-6-2 · 38 days offJ Mr E Mahon T Brian M McMahon	98	11-12	30	7%11%	Against: Well beaten last time, 5 weeks ago	12/1	6/1
6	9	Tea In The Park6yo gelding · form 9-7-10-15 · 318 days offJ R A Doyle T Eamon Courtney	–	11-12	16	4%1%	Against: Well beaten last time, 10 months ago	25/1	50/1
8	10	Angelsworknovrtime10yo mare · form 5-12-11-5-4 · 9 days offJ C D Smithers T James Fahey	94	11-5	37	3%4%	Against: 0 from 14 on the going	33/1	16/1
5	11	Space Warrior5yo gelding · form 7-6-6-9-9 · 18 days offJ Simon Torrens T Thomas Mullins	–	11-12	20	4%3%	For: Bred for the tripAgainst: Jockey below par at this trip (-17%)	28/1	25/1
4	12	Kingston Silver5yo gelding · form 9-11-9-12 · 30 days offJ Philip Donovan T W J Lanigan	–	11-12	13	4%1%	Against: Well beaten last time, 4 weeks ago	25/1	50/1

← Back

OUR RANK

10 / 12

10yo mare
No stall
Rating 94
Trends 0.6×

Angelsworknovrtime

C D Smithers · James Fahey

FAIR PRICE

33/1

market 16/1

★ Our view

Little in its favour. It is 0 from 14 on this ground. The market rates it higher than we do: 16/1 against our 33/1.

For and against

Against

0 from 14 on the goingNo win in 14 runs on this going.

Worth knowing

Jockey does well at this trip (+25%)Since 2021 at 2m-2m2: 12 wins from 150 rides, 25% more than the prices said. The market knows this: such rides win just as often as their prices say.
Claimer takes 7lbThe rider claims 7lb.

Race trends

Poor fit0.6×1.0× is an average runner

Sex: fillies and mares1 winner from 31 runners · 0.59× their share

From 18 races like this here: each group's share of the winners against its share of the runners. Past races only; it is a guide to the race, not part of our ratings.

Trainer & jockey

	14 days	30 days	Year	Course
TrainerJames Fahey	0%0/5	0%0/7	4%3/74	6%1/18
JockeyC D Smithers	11%1/9	5%1/19	12%12/102	—

Together: 0 from 24 (0%)

Trainer's last 7 days: 0 from 2 · last winner 34 days ago · 14-day profit to £1 level stakes: £-5.00

Jockey by trip	Rides	Won	vs prices
2m-2m2today	150	8% 12/150	+25%
2m3-2m6	88	3% 3/88	−32%
2m7+	42	5% 2/42	−23%

Last two years over jumps. 'vs prices': how many more (or fewer) winners than the starting prices said.

Multicuts (5)

Choose one to see every horse in it today.

Chances

Our win

Our place

Market win

Runs

Wins

Days off

0.12

Time fig

Price check

Market: 16/1
Our fair price: 33/1

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Profile

Sire: Sageburg (IRE)
Dam: Western Kate (IRE)
Damsire: Westerner
Trainer: James Fahey
Jockey: C D Smithers
Run style: Run style due with the race-day pace file

10yo mare
No stall
Rating 94
Trends 0.6×